Predictors of life-threatening complications in relatively lower-risk patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

TitlePredictors of life-threatening complications in relatively lower-risk patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2022
AuthorsGonzalez CJ, Hogan CJ, Rajan M, Wells MT, Safford MM, Pinheiro LC, Ghosh AK, Choi JJ, Burchenal CA, Shah PD, Shapiro MF
JournalPLoS One
Volume17
Issue2
Paginatione0263995
Date Published2022
ISSN1932-6203
KeywordsAge Factors, COVID-19, Female, Hospital Mortality, Hospitalization, Humans, Hypertension, Length of Stay, Logistic Models, Male, Middle Aged, New York City, Proportional Hazards Models, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, SARS-CoV-2, Severity of Illness Index, Sex Factors
Abstract

Older individuals with chronic health conditions are at highest risk of adverse clinical outcomes from COVID-19, but there is widespread belief that risk to younger, relatively lower-risk individuals is negligible. We assessed the rate and predictors of life-threatening complications among relatively lower-risk adults hospitalized with COVID-19. Of 3766 adults hospitalized with COVID-19 to three hospitals in New York City from March to May 2020, 963 were relatively lower-risk based on absence of preexisting health conditions. Multivariable logistic regression models examined in-hospital development of life-threatening complications (major medical events, intubation, or death). Covariates included age, sex, race/ethnicity, hypertension, weight, insurance type, and area-level sociodemographic factors (poverty, crowdedness, and limited English proficiency). In individuals ≥55 years old (n = 522), 33.3% experienced a life-threatening complication, 17.4% were intubated, and 22.6% died. Among those <55 years (n = 441), 15.0% experienced a life-threatening complication, 11.1% were intubated, and 5.9% died. In multivariable analyses among those ≥55 years, age (OR 1.03 [95%CI 1.01-1.06]), male sex (OR 1.72 [95%CI 1.14-2.64]), being publicly insured (versus commercial insurance: Medicare, OR 2.02 [95%CI 1.22-3.38], Medicaid, OR 1.87 [95%CI 1.10-3.20]) and living in areas with relatively high limited English proficiency (highest versus lowest quartile: OR 3.50 [95%CI 1.74-7.13]) predicted life-threatening complications. In those <55 years, no sociodemographic factors significantly predicted life-threatening complications. A substantial proportion of relatively lower-risk patients hospitalized with COVID-19 experienced life-threatening complications and more than 1 in 20 died. Public messaging needs to effectively convey that relatively lower-risk individuals are still at risk of serious complications.

DOI10.1371/journal.pone.0263995
Alternate JournalPLoS One
PubMed ID35167610
PubMed Central IDPMC8846540